Well, just a few more weeks on my July 2017 MFI Formula tranche. I actually started in July 10th (can't recall why I started late)... so I will have to start the new one "late" as well. The July MFI Formula tranche.
As a reminder, here are my steps in MFI Formula Picks
- Start with official screen (will use 50 stocks > $130m)
- Then filter out the 16 smallest market cap stocks from the screen.
- Then filter out stocks that don't have a dividend yield of 2.4% or greater.
- At this point I can toss out one name I don't want.
- Then random number generator to get my five picks.
The retiring tranche has been one of my all-time greats, I'll be sorry to see them go:
| 7/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | 
| CSCO | $30.98 | $43.74 | $0.91 | 44.1% | 16.8% | 
| GME | $20.95 | $15.71 | $1.52 | -17.8% | 16.8% | 
| HPQ | $17.60 | $23.30 | $0.53 | 35.4% | 16.8% | 
| RGR | $60.70 | $60.35 | $0.99 | 1.1% | 16.8% | 
| SYNT | $16.21 | $34.07 | $0.00 | 110.2% | 16.8% | 
| Totals | 34.6% | 16.8% | 
Pretty good, right?  Hopefully I have not jinxed and caused wheels to fall off final two weeks.  So you can see why I can't start "early" (moving date back to 7/1) as I need to make sure everything is LT capital gains.
Possible New Tranche
Here are the 50 stocks from official screen this morning:
| Ticker | Market Cap | Price | Dividend | Yield | 
| ACOR | 1,426 | 30.50 | - | 0.00% | 
| AEIS | 2,412 | 61.01 | - | 0.00% | 
| ALSN | 5,712 | 41.73 | 0.61 | 1.45% | 
| MO | 107,550 | 56.76 | 2.71 | 4.78% | 
| AMCX | 3,964 | 67.42 | - | 0.00% | 
| ABC | 20,254 | 93.23 | 1.52 | 1.63% | 
| AMAT | 48,941 | 48.58 | 0.51 | 1.04% | 
| AGX | 551 | 35.30 | 1.25 | 3.55% | 
| BIIB | 61,474 | 296.80 | - | 0.00% | 
| HRB | 5,017 | 24.07 | 0.96 | 3.98% | 
| BPT | 566 | 27.05 | 4.01 | 14.82% | 
| CASA | 1,466 | 17.97 | - | 0.00% | 
| CERC | 150 | 4.89 | - | 0.00% | 
| CJREF | 1,018 | 4.88 | 0.90 | 18.36% | 
| DLX | 3,266 | 67.45 | 1.21 | 1.79% | 
| DNB | 4,659 | 126.68 | 2.05 | 1.62% | 
| EVC | 413 | 4.90 | 0.20 | 4.09% | 
| ESRX | 45,286 | 80.10 | - | 0.00% | 
| FTSI | 1,733 | 15.37 | - | 0.00% | 
| GME | 1,603 | 15.71 | 1.52 | 9.67% | 
| GILD | 92,719 | 71.46 | 2.17 | 3.04% | 
| HPQ | 37,879 | 23.30 | 0.55 | 2.35% | 
| IMMR | 476 | 16.34 | - | 0.00% | 
| INVA | 1,643 | 15.23 | - | 0.00% | 
| IDCC | 2,945 | 84.75 | 1.35 | 1.59% | 
| IPG | 9,006 | 23.42 | 0.78 | 3.35% | 
| KLAC | 17,236 | 109.77 | 2.51 | 2.29% | 
| LRCX | 30,176 | 174.33 | 2.55 | 1.46% | 
| MCFT | 557 | 29.86 | - | 0.00% | 
| MSB | 329 | 25.20 | 2.43 | 9.64% | 
| MIK | 3,317 | 18.75 | - | 0.00% | 
| MPAA | 374 | 20.00 | - | 0.00% | 
| MSGN | 1,694 | 23.40 | - | 0.00% | 
| NHTC | 260 | 23.73 | 0.50 | 2.11% | 
| NLS | 495 | 16.30 | - | 0.00% | 
| EGOV | 1,097 | 16.55 | 0.32 | 1.94% | 
| OMC | 17,041 | 75.16 | 2.36 | 3.14% | 
| PTN | 182 | 0.92 | - | 0.00% | 
| SRNE | 580 | 6.65 | - | 0.00% | 
| SP | 870 | 39.15 | - | 0.00% | 
| TGNA | 2,455 | 12.07 | 0.28 | 2.30% | 
| TVTY | 1,393 | 35.30 | - | 0.00% | 
| TRNC | 639 | 18.04 | - | 0.00% | 
| TUP | 2,247 | 44.30 | 2.71 | 6.12% | 
| UIS | 698 | 13.75 | - | 0.00% | 
| UTHR | 5,377 | 118.31 | - | 0.00% | 
| VIAB | 11,804 | 30.24 | 0.80 | 2.65% | 
| HCC | 1,335 | 25.79 | 0.20 | 0.77% | 
| WDC | 24,072 | 80.22 | 1.98 | 2.47% | 
| XOMA | 178 | 20.97 | - | 0.00% | 
Interestingly, the cutoff for top 2/3 market caps is 970m (it generally runs 600m to 700m).  So fewer small stocks are making list right now.  So if we filter on that and the 2.4% dividend yield we get:
| Number | Ticker | Market Cap | Price | Dividend | Yield | 
| 1 | MO | 107,550 | 56.76 | 2.71 | 4.78% | 
| 2 | HRB | 5,017 | 24.07 | 0.96 | 3.98% | 
| 3 | CJREF | 1,018 | 4.88 | 0.90 | 18.36% | 
| 4 | GME | 1,603 | 15.71 | 1.52 | 9.67% | 
| 5 | GILD | 92,719 | 71.46 | 2.17 | 3.04% | 
| 6 | IPG | 9,006 | 23.42 | 0.78 | 3.35% | 
| 7 | OMC | 17,041 | 75.16 | 2.36 | 3.14% | 
| 8 | TUP | 2,247 | 44.30 | 2.71 | 6.12% | 
| 9 | VIAB | 11,804 | 30.24 | 0.80 | 2.65% | 
| 10 | WDC | 24,072 | 80.22 | 1.98 | 2.47% | 
I have been toying with idea of removing market cap restriction, as that has actually been hampering my performance (AGX, BPT and EVC would get added) but I will not make changes this time.  I have also considered moving from 4 tranches a year to just 2 and then let each tranche have all the stocks listed (removing random number generator step), but again will not make that change right now.
Just for fun, I ran randomize to see what I'd get if rolling over today:
| Random # | Stock | 
| 9 | VIAB | 
| 7 | OMC | 
| 10 | WDC | 
| 4 | GME | 
| 3 | CJREF | 
 
 
 
 Posts
Posts
 
 
No comments:
Post a Comment