Friday, January 09, 2009

Another Week

Don't look now, but I am now within 6% of the benchmark as my MFI portfolio has been making a torrid comeback. Still well below breakeven, but I am starting to feel mildly hopeful... a sure sign the floor will fall out tomorrow.

My mechanical portfolio is also doing "well"... everything is relative. It is a bit more than 8% better than the S&P benchmark while SDA's magic diligence portfolio is only 5.1% ahead... aha! It is really a function of smaller cap stocks doing better of late. Here is my portfolio.

Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DTPI 2/2/08 4.75 4.02 0.35 139.58 2.72 -8.0% -34.2% 26.2%
AIRV 2/13/08 5.08 5.54 - 136.37 2.00 9.1% -33.2% 42.3%
CITP 2/16/08 9.98 3.00 - 135.14 2.00 -69.9% -32.6% -37.3%
PRXI 2/16/08 4.29 1.18 - 135.14 2.00 -72.5% -32.6% -39.9%
CAST 2/23/08 5.06 2.60 - 135.62 2.00 -48.6% -32.8% -15.8%
GSB 3/12/08 2.08 0.90 - 131.36 2.00 -56.7% -30.7% -26.1%
IGC 3/12/08 3.70 1.05 - 131.36 2.00 -71.6% -30.7% -41.0%
LGTY 3/12/08 6.70 4.67 0.09 131.36 2.00 -29.0% -30.7% 1.7%
MRX 3/12/08 19.45 13.81 0.12 131.36 2.08 -28.4% -30.6% 2.2%
DEPO 3/22/08 2.74 1.79 - 132.08 2.08 -34.7% -31.0% -3.7%
NVTL 3/22/08 8.98 5.40 - 132.08 2.08 -39.9% -31.0% -8.9%
VRGY 3/22/08 17.42 10.42 - 132.08 2.08 -40.2% -31.0% -9.2%
DLX 4/6/08 19.58 14.07 0.75 136.89 2.08 -24.3% -33.4% 9.1%
NTRI 4/6/08 14.94 14.65 0.54 136.89 2.08 1.7% -33.4% 35.1%
IUSA 4/6/08 5.28 4.20 - 136.89 2.08 -20.5% -33.4% 12.9%
LRCX 4/11/08 41.08 23.50 - 133.38 2.08 -42.8% -31.7% -11.1%
SLXP 4/11/08 6.47 8.99 - 133.38 2.08 38.9% -31.7% 70.6%
CHRD 4/19/08 5.03 2.63 - 138.48 2.08 -47.7% -34.2% -13.5%
QXM 4/26/08 6.26 2.88 - 139.60 2.08 -54.0% -34.7% -19.3%
MDP 5/9/08 33.79 18.19 0.65 138.90 2.08 -44.3% -34.4% -9.9%
OMPI 5/9/08 7.11 7.30 - 138.90 2.08 2.7% -34.4% 37.0%
PPD 5/9/08 43.45 34.79 - 138.90 2.08 -19.9% -34.4% 14.4%
ELNK 5/25/08 9.21 7.11 - 137.64 2.08 -22.8% -33.8% 11.0%
FTAR.ob 5/25/08 4.37 3.50 - 137.64 2.08 -19.9% -33.8% 13.9%
CHKE 5/31/08 27.25 17.38 1.00 140.35 2.08 -32.6% -35.0% 2.5%
APKT 7/5/08 4.62 4.35 - 126.31 1.41 -5.8% -28.4% 22.5%
CSKI 7/5/08 11.06 15.58 - 126.31 1.41 40.9% -28.4% 69.2%
VALU 7/5/08 32.00 36.61 0.80 126.31 1.41 16.9% -28.4% 45.3%
QCOR 7/26/08 4.84 7.03 - 125.48 1.41 45.2% -27.9% 73.1%
MSTR 8/1/08 60.56 37.96 - 126.16 1.41 -37.3% -28.3% -9.1%
NVDA 8/8/08 11.00 7.93 - 129.37 1.41 -27.9% -30.0% 2.1%
SWIR 8/8/08 12.41 6.32 - 129.37 1.41 -49.1% -30.0% -19.0%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 53.91 - 129.37 1.41 -60.0% -30.0% -29.9%
SIGM 8/8/08 15.93 10.30 - 129.37 1.41 -35.3% -30.0% -5.3%
EGMI.OB 9/5/08 0.69 0.48 - 124.42 1.41 -30.4% -27.3% -3.2%
KHD 9/15/08 20.68 12.23 - 126.09 1.41 -40.9% -28.2% -12.6%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 7.86 - 124.12 1.41 -52.6% -27.1% -25.5%
SCMP 9/29/08 8.29 4.99 - 120.85 0.72 -39.8% -25.7% -14.1%
DTLK 9/29/08 4.34 3.32 - 120.85 0.72 -23.5% -25.7% 2.2%
TRA 9/29/08 28.42 18.06 0.10 120.85 0.72 -36.1% -25.7% -10.4%
MSB 10/10/08 10.12 11.79 - 88.50 0.72 16.5% 1.5% 15.0%
UEPS 10/10/08 14.58 12.95 - 88.50 0.72 -11.2% 1.5% -12.7%
TSCM 10/17/08 3.67 3.06 0.03 93.21 0.72 -15.9% -3.6% -12.3%
EME 10/31/08 17.77 20.02 - 96.83 0.72 12.7% -7.3% 19.9%
CTCM 10/31/08 7.40 5.04 - 96.83 0.72 -31.9% -7.3% -24.6%
PRGX 10/31/08 4.24 4.00 - 96.83 0.72 -5.7% -7.3% 1.6%
HLF 11/7/08 20.17 22.00 0.20 93.86 0.72 10.1% -4.3% 14.4%
GHM 11/7/08 13.60 11.82 0.02 93.86 0.72 -12.9% -4.3% -8.6%
BIDZ 11/21/08 2.39 4.08 - 79.52 0.72 70.7% 12.9% 57.8%
KBR 11/21/08 10.45 17.34 0.05 79.52 0.72 66.4% 12.9% 53.5%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.15 - 79.52 0.72 22.3% 12.9% 9.4%
IBAS 11/21/08 1.21 1.57 - 79.52 0.72 29.8% 12.9% 16.8%
Vclk 11/28/08 6.17 6.72 - 90.09 0.72 8.9% -0.3% 9.2%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 5.32 - 87.93 0.72 21.7% 2.1% 19.6%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 8.83 - 87.93 0.72 52.2% 2.1% 50.1%
ESIC 12/14/08 1.13 2.03 - 88.99 0.72 79.6% 0.9% 78.7%
MSO 12/29/08 2.80 3.51 - 87.16 - 25.4% 2.2% 23.1%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 1.31 - 87.16 - 27.2% 2.2% 25.0%
WFR 12/29/08 13.43 16.47 - 87.16 - 22.6% 2.2% 20.4%
AHCI 1/5/09 1.15 1.15 - 92.96 - 0.0% -4.2% 4.2%
CKSW 1/5/09 1.99 2.08 - 92.96 - 4.5% -4.2% 8.7%
















Totals -11.8% -19.9% 8.2%
64.3% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark





Then my Chinese portfolio is actually in the green, something I haven't seen much of lately. Get ready for this... it is up 4% while the Russell 3000 is down almost 30%! Sadly, some of the really outperfoming Chinese stocks I do not own in real life. But I think it illustrates that some of these stocks can really pop.

Stocks in the news:

MTW announced they will "only" make $1.35 to $1.60 in 2009. Granted that is way down from the $3.20 in 2008... but the stock price is down from $45 to $8. Not sure if the $1.35 to $1.60 considers an "Obama dividend".

KBR announced they would meet expectations in 2009 (

KBR says earnings should meet analyst outlook
). That was pretty good news and the stock went up this week. Of course they'll make $1.75 in 2009 and are a $17 stock. Hmmm.

2 comments:

  1. Way to go Marsh! Small caps have been on a roll. Not sure I could stomach the crazy volatility (or manage to buy all of those positions) but your portfolio is definitely on the right train at the time.

    Steve
    MagicDiligence.com

    ReplyDelete
  2. Steve, it is interesting. I know you have not been a fan of MSO, WFR and EME for various reasons. But they have all done pretty well in my list, I expect because for them to hit the top 25, they REALLY have to be cheap.

    MG

    ReplyDelete