Thursday, October 30, 2014

MFI Stocks Making A Comeback

Several times this year, I have mentioned how MFI has been trailing benchmarks as it does tend to be streaky. But I just noticed yesterday that my MFI index, which is comprised of 50 stocks picked from the screen at the start of each year has been streaking.... Upwards!

Since the start of the fourth quarter, the 50 stocks in that index are up a snappy 4.8% (wish I were doing so well) while the Russell 3000 is up just under 1%. Yesterday was a bang up day for the stocks as USNA was up 22% and EGL Was up 12%.  In just the fourth quarter look at some of these individual returns:


  1. EGL 35%
  2. GTIV 16%
  3. HLF 14%
  4. ESI 121%
  5. USNA 46%
We shall see if the momentum continues. This morning I will note that RGR and WTW are down pre market on earnings. I am fortunate Mr Random did not pick COH or RGR for me (or KING for that matter so far). 

Then on a personal note, every month I look at my net worth (everything) and track in a spreadsheet. I was a bit worried what it would be this month end as I did have the GTAT fiasco.  But it wasn't so bad, down just 1/10 of a percent - essentially flat. So while I may not be able to buy that beachside condo in Hawaii with my GTAT proceeds, it looks like I can still afford to eat at Outback Steakhouse every now and then when I retire. For the year I am up 8%. Of course that is more than investment returns, that is salary that I am saving, equity I have added in my house, money I have placed into college funds, IRAs and 401K - kind of everything. 

Interestingly, I am not sure I am going to be able to participate in GTAT lawsuits. They are really looking at people in bought in after November 2013 (when aapl announcement was made). Recall I bought my shares at $2.80 in February 2013. 

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Rising Tide

Rising Tide

Well, it was a great day for my portfolio, up about 1.9%.  That means I am now just down 2.4% for the year. Obviously, without the GTAT fiasco I'd be well in the green.

I did buy PGN on Monday.  This was a stock I mentioned as being exceedingly cheap over the weekend.  For those of you who don't read Barron's, I do highly recommend it. They did not recommend PGN, but they talked about Spinoffs and gave me a website for spin offs (Stock Spinoffs - Finding Value in Special Situations) that allowed me to find PGN.

On Monday I also sold some calls on SYNA and SNDK, two MFI stocks coming up on a year. I will not count it in my score-keeping for MFI as options are not a part of the official strategy.  I should have definitely waited at least one more day on SYNA.

RPXC and CCUR announced earnings after the bell this evening.  RPXC actually seemed pretty decent (RPX Announces Third Quarter 2014 Financial Results).  But CCUR was not so hot (Concurrent Reports Fiscal Year 2015 First Quarter Financial Results).  I am starting to think CCUR is a value trap, so I may look to sell in the next week.

I will say, the stocks I have recently bought have done very well, gotta love that rising tide.

PGN + 3.7% this week
CCUR  +8.4%
KMF  +12.4%
CSQ  +11.9%
TNH +5.2%
VEC  +9.5% and +14.2% (bought two tranches)

I was asked what I thought of GTATQ. I am not a bankruptcy expert and have not studied the GTAT bankruptcy.  I have owned/followed other stocks into bankruptcy and they have always gone down => they have never recovered (for the stockholder). Maybe "this time is different", but I have no desire to test that.

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Quick Top 200 List

Ticker Rank  Stock Price  Market Cap Earnings Yield ROIC Dividend Yield P/B Country
ADMS 1         14.73            242 42% 12903% 0.00% #N/A   USA
KING 2         11.35        3,612 31% 1203% 4.02% #N/A   Ireland
PDLI 3           8.33        1,476 22% 588694% 7.20%      2.0   USA
CALL 4           8.89            159 27% 984% 0.00%    12.0   Israel
TTWO 5         22.42        1,779 33% 470% 0.00%      2.0   USA
PTIE 6           4.15            188 18% 35288% 0.00%    12.0   USA
AGX 7         31.95            468 17% 1339% 2.20%    19.0   USA
XXII 8           2.02            119 27% 231% 0.00%    17.0   USA
GAME 9           6.51        1,771 14% 1001% 0.00%        -     China
NHTC 10           9.25            114 12% 4023% 0.20%        -     
PFMT 11           8.33            414 16% 259% 0.00%      4.0   USA
CTCM 12           6.06            946 30% 157% 11.05%      1.0   Russia
SPOK 13         13.77            304 18% 183% 3.56%      3.0   USA
HLF 14         51.60        4,704 14% 229% 1.17%      6.0   Cayman Islands
LQDT 15         12.52            387 15% 203% 0.00%      2.0   USA
BCOR 16         15.72            677 12% 358% 0.00%        -     USA
PERI 17           5.95            416 12% 827% 0.00%        -     Israel
LFVN 18           1.30            137 13% 228% 0.00%    16.0   USA
TNH 19      141.66        2,621 16% 166% 7.21%      1.0   USA
EQIX 20         43.30        2,237 24% 130% 3.83%      1.0   USA
AVG 21         16.82            887 12% 723% 0.00%        -     Netherlands
DEPO 22         15.10            912 11% 1039% 0.00%      4.0   USA
TZOO 23         12.19            180 13% 194% 0.00%      1.0   USA
UIS 24         23.69        1,194 20% 124% 0.00%      3.0   USA
AVID 25         10.05            393 14% 158% 0.00%      3.0   
WLKP 26         28.70            728 82% 105% 0.00% #N/A   USA
APOL 27         25.91        2,904 20% 114% 0.00%      4.0   USA
CSCO 28         23.78    122,990 11% 333% 3.14%        -     USA
ESI 29           8.81            206 99% 100% 0.00%      3.0   USA
SPRT 30           2.11            114 15% 128% 0.00%      2.0   USA
EBIX 31         14.25            551 12% 242% 1.63%    20.0   USA
NSR 32         25.19        1,521 13% 146% 0.00%    12.0   USA
IQNT 33         13.15            439 15% 120% 2.70%        -     USA
TPUB 34         19.42            494 23% 102% 0.00% #N/A   USA
DLX 35         58.59        2,943 11% 362% 1.93%      2.0   USA
RGR 36         51.46        1,026 16% 110% 4.04%      3.0   USA
MYGN 37         36.96        2,871 11% 319% 0.00%      2.0   USA
COH 38         35.97        9,942 14% 122% 3.76%      1.0   USA
MTN 39         43.30        1,567 17% 98% 1.73%      2.0   USA
ATAI 40           4.19              95 16% 96% 9.72%        -     China
NUS 41         49.21        3,008 19% 90% 2.74%      5.0   USA
CA 42         28.43      12,538 10% 457% 3.60%      1.0   USA
WTW 43         28.39        1,608 10% 474% 0.00%      1.0   USA
PETS 44         13.00            262 13% 103% 5.33%    13.0   USA
AFOP 45         12.50            240 13% 102% 1.21%      9.0   USA
HRB 46         30.93        8,493 10% 261% 2.60%      1.0   USA
PDFS 47         12.48            398 12% 108% 0.00%    19.0   USA
BKE 48         47.37        2,277 12% 108% 4.36%    35.0   USA
ONE 49           2.35            111 18% 77% 0.00%      8.0   USA
DISCK 50         36.19      12,522 11% 145% 0.00%        -     USA
RPXC 51         14.37            787 9% 1232% 0.00%      7.0   USA
PENN 52         12.41        1,105 20% 72% 0.00%      2.0   USA
GME 53         42.03        4,804 12% 93% 3.07%      8.0   USA
TDC 54         40.69        6,486 9% 360% 0.00%      1.0   USA
USNA 55         85.72        1,220 10% 171% 0.00%      9.0   USA
ECYT 56           5.81            251 9% 312% 0.00%      2.0   USA
STRA 57         65.01            691 12% 93% 0.00%      7.0   USA
VIAB 58         71.61      31,208 10% 232% 1.76%        -     USA
ORCL 59         38.73    176,144 9% 483% 1.26%    25.0   USA
BRCD 60           9.95        4,396 11% 101% 0.71%      1.0   USA
APEI 61         29.15            509 15% 69% 0.00%      3.0   USA
SHOO 62         29.93        1,922 11% 94% 0.00%      8.0   USA
CRT 63         26.73            160 10% 150% 10.13%      1.0   USA
ASPS 64         73.33        1,772 10% 156% 0.00%        -     Luxembourg
ANIK 65         39.02            605 11% 95% 0.00%      3.0   USA
NOC 66      130.79      28,146 10% 114% 2.03%      1.0   USA
NTP 67           5.47            247 125% 55% 1.47%        -     China
LBMH 68           2.73            146 9% 199% 4.33% #N/A   USA
ITRN 69         20.58            432 11% 91% 4.53%        -     Israel
CBI 70         53.68        5,862 11% 109% 0.51%      2.0   Netherlands
PBI 71         24.55        5,020 10% 155% 3.07%      1.0   USA
TUP 72         64.10        3,276 10% 140% 4.19%      2.0   USA
SGU 73           6.14            353 18% 59% 5.61%      1.0   USA
SYNT 74         80.50        3,378 10% 119% 0.00%    35.0   USA
RTN 75         98.12      30,761 10% 144% 2.39%      1.0   USA
KZ 76           5.91            280 9% 170% 14.86%        -     China
HPQ 77         34.93      66,332 12% 78% 1.75%        -     USA
ETM 78           8.96            344 11% 95% 0.00%    11.0   USA
SWHC 79         10.26            576 19% 56% 0.00%    11.0   USA
XLS 80         16.78        3,249 14% 63% 2.30%        -     USA
PME 81           1.61            127 33% 53% 0.65% #N/A   China
FLR 82         64.95      10,421 11% 86% 1.22%      1.0   USA
IILG 83         20.42        1,188 9% 216% 2.13%      3.0   USA
CTG 84           8.48            138 22% 54% 2.61%      8.0   USA
SLI 85         42.40            177 14% 62% 0.00%      4.0   USA
MGIC 86           6.77            301 10% 143% 3.16%        -     Israel
BBGI 87           5.15            118 12% 71% 3.39%      3.0   USA
CRUS 88         21.57        1,395 13% 62% 0.00%      1.0   USA
GPS 89         36.89      16,342 13% 64% 2.32%    10.0   USA
ENSG 90         35.36            812 13% 62% 0.61%      5.0   USA
LXK 91         40.60        2,574 17% 53% 3.20%      2.0   USA
FRAN 92         12.05            511 13% 61% 0.00%      2.0   USA
KRFT 93         56.83      34,098 10% 96% 3.76%        -     USA
EXLS 94         26.52            893 10% 91% 0.00%      5.0   USA
K 95         61.94      22,422 11% 76% 3.03%        -     USA
SDPI 96           5.06              82 45% 47% 0.00% #N/A   USA
HRS 97         67.33        7,204 11% 80% 2.59%      1.0   USA
BAH 98         25.72        3,848 9% 163% 13.50%      3.0   USA
LEE 99           3.39            177 11% 70% 0.00%      9.0   USA
VGR 100         21.67        2,204 8% 263% 7.03%      3.0   USA
BWC 101         28.68        3,158 15% 53% 1.40%      1.0   USA
NTES 102         92.74      12,146 8% 488% 2.30%        -     China
MD 103         55.87        5,580 8% 240% 0.00%      2.0   USA
CHKE 104         16.14            136 9% 184% 1.22%    10.0   USA
MAN 105         64.40        5,242 13% 54% 1.48%      1.0   USA
EGY 106           7.54            434 24% 46% 0.00%      5.0   USA
TAX 107         34.60            445 10% 91% 0.00%    10.0   USA
TIME 108         20.94        2,310 10% 79% 0.00% #N/A   USA
ACN 109         78.35      53,932 8% 510% 2.50%      1.0   Ireland
BBBY 110         65.24      12,493 12% 56% 0.00%      2.0   USA
KFY 111         27.04        1,341 10% 96% 0.00%      2.0   USA
XUE 112           2.92            184 20% 46% 5.52%        -     China
DNB 113      119.48        4,409 8% 1197% 1.45%      3.0   USA
CRWN 114           3.34        1,201 9% 106% 0.00%        -     USA
LO 115         60.67      21,898 8% 592% 3.96%        -     USA
NATR 116         13.75            223 15% 48% 14.71%      1.0   USA
IPCM 117         40.07            702 9% 143% 0.00%      2.0   USA
CXDC 118           5.23            255 64% 43% 0.00%      3.0   China
EGL 119         36.11            651 10% 72% 0.00%        -     USA
STRZA 120         30.48        3,459 9% 101% 0.00%        -     USA
OUTR 121         55.42        1,118 12% 53% 0.00%      2.0   USA
SMT 122           1.41            180 17% 45% 0.00%        -     Canada
SYMC 123         23.98      16,714 9% 133% 2.51%      1.0   USA
PLUS 124         58.84            445 14% 47% 0.00%      7.0   USA
AAPL 125      105.22    636,761 8% 292% 1.73%        -     USA
SAIC 126         46.58        2,278 9% 94% 2.41% #N/A   USA
OMC 127         70.19      18,123 8% 242% 2.59%      1.0   USA
MSFT 128         46.13    384,955 8% 211% 2.49%      8.0   USA
GORO 129           4.76            260 11% 63% 3.25%    10.0   USA
CPLA 130         66.42            831 8% 154% 2.11%      7.0   USA
SAP 131         65.68      78,685 8% 270% 2.08%        -     Germany
HHS 132           5.95            375 11% 61% 5.67%    14.0   USA
BBSI 133         43.84            325 9% 116% 1.65%    53.0   USA
ATVI 134         19.17      13,898 8% 674% 1.05%      7.0   USA
MIK 135         18.29        3,384 10% 74% 0.00% #N/A   USA
APH 136         48.83        7,851 11% 55% 0.89%        -     USA
SFUN 137         10.01        4,630 8% 169% 1.95%        -     China
LWAY 138         15.34            251 23% 40% 0.00%    50.0   USA
CHE 139      103.34        1,848 8% 166% 0.80%      4.0   USA
MRVL 140         13.03        6,779 9% 78% 1.86%        -     Bermuda
REX 141         67.60            553 19% 41% 0.00%    21.0   USA
UEPS 142         11.59            563 16% 43% 0.00%      2.0   South Africa
HSII 143         21.66            398 9% 87% 2.41%      5.0   USA
NVMI 144         10.29            290 10% 61% 0.00%        -     Israel
SNDK 145         88.76      21,363 8% 127% 1.10%        -     USA
GD 146      132.50      44,809 8% 114% 1.86%      1.0   USA
UG 147         21.05              97 8% 187% 4.64%    38.0   USA
SAFM 148         78.95        1,772 19% 40% 1.65%      8.0   USA
HGT 149           9.08            363 12% 47% 11.79%      4.0   USA
PLOW 150         20.47            454 10% 59% 4.27%      3.0   USA
KLIC 151         13.85        1,075 15% 42% 0.00%      4.0   USA
RIOM 152           2.41            428 26% 39% 0.00%        -     Canada
UTMD 153         50.80            192 8% 111% 1.92%      3.0   USA
SJT 154         17.25            804 7% 1670% 7.56%        -     USA
CO 155           5.05            369 19% 40% 0.00%      1.0   Hong Kong
MPAA 156         25.62            408 8% 177% 0.00%      3.0   USA
CATO 157         35.01            958 12% 49% 2.69%      9.0   USA
MMS 158         43.54        3,006 8% 124% 0.42%      5.0   USA
JCOM 159         50.66        2,384 8% 433% 2.12%      6.0   USA
TEO 160         21.81        4,227 15% 41% 9.09%        -     Argentina
RECN 161         14.65            562 9% 71% 1.98%      3.0   USA
MED 162         31.00            408 9% 82% 0.00%    18.0   USA
RAI 163         61.55      32,915 8% 247% 4.33%        -     USA
CACI 164         71.99        1,765 9% 76% 0.00%      2.0   USA
CODI 165         17.75            857 12% 47% 8.07%      2.0   USA
PPC 166         26.68        6,925 12% 45% 0.00%      1.0   USA
MTRX 167         23.57            639 11% 52% 0.00%      5.0   USA
WGO 168         21.52            585 12% 44% 0.00%      2.0   USA
PEIX 169         11.73            261 28% 37% 0.00%        -     USA
MANT 170         27.57        1,028 11% 53% 3.04%        -     USA
GNC 171         39.47        3,589 10% 63% 1.58%      1.0   USA
WDC 172         91.68      22,095 10% 59% 1.55%      1.0   USA
CSC 173         59.55        8,828 12% 44% 1.45%      1.0   USA
ERIC 174         11.47      37,507 10% 53% 3.91%        -     Sweden
EME 175         42.22        2,871 9% 66% 0.76%      3.0   USA
MBT 176         13.46      13,386 16% 39% 2.31%        -     Russia
BR 177         42.62        5,310 8% 243% 2.13%      1.0   USA
PRGS 178         25.48        1,298 8% 146% 0.00%      5.0   USA
NVDA 179         18.48      10,544 8% 93% 1.86%      1.0   USA
LMNS 180           8.79            315 8% 173% 0.00% #N/A   Israel
ALB 181         57.20        4,499 11% 46% 1.88%      8.0   USA
NOK 182           8.34      33,516 8% 250% 6.08%        -     Finland
LEA 183         90.26        7,347 12% 43% 0.90%        -     USA
FL 184         54.70        8,008 10% 52% 1.56%      2.0   USA
CBS 185         53.52      31,095 9% 87% 0.95%      1.0   USA
TWX 186         78.77      70,436 8% 127% 1.54%      2.0   USA
PETM 187         69.45        6,923 10% 55% 1.14%      1.0   USA
HIBB 188         43.60        1,125 11% 47% 0.00%      1.0   USA
WINA 189         78.47            405 7% 258% 6.74%    71.0   USA
LYB 190         92.39      47,304 11% 44% 2.76%        -     Netherlands
ADUS 191         18.13            202 9% 64% 0.00%    47.0   USA
BBY 192         33.11      11,661 12% 43% 2.11%      1.0   USA
WSTC 193         29.98        2,560 8% 99% 2.98% #N/A   USA
DOV 194         79.09      13,355 9% 69% 1.86%      1.0   USA
CSGS 195         25.42            853 9% 62% 2.42%      5.0   USA
MLNK 196           3.27            168 26% 34% 0.00%    39.0   USA
AEIS 197         17.83            734 12% 42% 0.00%    11.0   USA
DOX 198         46.23        7,477 8% 122% 1.30%        -     Channel Islands
DPS 199         66.80      13,213 8% 111% 2.40%        -     USA
KANG 200         18.58            299 19% 34% 0.00% #N/A   China

Official List And How They Match Me

Ticker Mkt Cap Date My Ranking Price EY ROIC
AFOP 232.44 24-Oct 45         12.50 13% 102%
APEI 502.95 24-Oct 61         29.15 15% 69%
ANIK 577.42 24-Oct 65         39.02 11% 95%
APOL 2,821.52 24-Oct 27         25.91 20% 114%
AGX 461.36 24-Oct 7         31.95 17% 1339%
AVID 393.59 24-Oct 25         10.05 14% 158%
HRB 8,508.47 24-Oct 46         30.93 10% 261%
BCOR 645.13 24-Oct 16         15.72 12% 358%
BRCD 4,305.01 24-Oct 60           9.95 11% 101%
BKE 2,291.52 24-Oct 48         47.37 12% 108%
CA 12,518.72 24-Oct 42         28.43 10% 457%
GIB 10,394.38 24-Oct #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
CSCO 121,444.50 24-Oct 28         23.78 11% 333%
COH 9,868.77 24-Oct 38         35.97 14% 122%
DEPO 882.38 24-Oct 22         15.10 11% 1039%
EBIX 547.13 24-Oct 31         14.25 12% 242%
FLR 10,236.12 24-Oct 82         64.95 11% 86%
GME 4,740.98 24-Oct 53         42.03 12% 93%
ONE 111.83 24-Oct 49           2.35 18% 77%
IQNT 435.38 24-Oct 33         13.15 15% 120%
IILG 1,166.33 24-Oct 83         20.42 9% 216%
ITRN 431.52 24-Oct 69         20.58 11% 91%
KING 3,628.89 24-Oct 2         11.35 31% 1203%
LBMH 144.62 24-Oct 68           2.73 9% 199%
LFVN 132.82 24-Oct 18           1.30 13% 228%
LQDT 371.02 24-Oct 15         12.52 15% 203%
MYGN 3,018.23 24-Oct 37         36.96 11% 319%
NHTC 112.05 24-Oct 10           9.25 12% 4023%
NSR 1,511.22 24-Oct 32         25.19 13% 146%
NOC 26,573.52 24-Oct 66      130.79 10% 114%
NUS 2,918.15 24-Oct 41         49.21 19% 90%
OMC 17,419.69 24-Oct 127         70.19 8% 242%
PTIE 189.89 24-Oct 6           4.15 18% 35288%
PDFS 385.33 24-Oct 47         12.48 12% 108%
PDLI 1,445.31 24-Oct 3           8.33 22% 588694%
PFMT 404.29 24-Oct 11           8.33 16% 259%
PETS 263.48 24-Oct 44         13.00 13% 103%
RTN 30,220.96 24-Oct 75         98.12 10% 144%
RPXC 804.81 24-Oct 51         14.37 9% 1232%
SPOK 298.48 24-Oct 13         13.77 18% 183%
SHOO 1,964.96 24-Oct 62         29.93 11% 94%
STRA 709.00 24-Oct 57         65.01 12% 93%
RGR 999.15 24-Oct 36         51.46 16% 110%
SPRT 113.66 24-Oct 30           2.11 15% 128%
TTWO 2,275.61 24-Oct 5         22.42 33% 470%
TZOO 179.56 24-Oct 23         12.19 13% 194%
UIS 1,199.54 24-Oct 24         23.69 20% 124%
USNA 1,148.99 24-Oct 55         85.72 10% 171%
VIAB 30,384.12 24-Oct 58         71.61 10% 232%
WTW 1,608.89 24-Oct 43         28.39 10% 474%